Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Google to the Rescue

Can Google Save Journalism? James Fallows, the talented and insightful writer for The Atlantic, has a great piece in the current issue that might - just might - give hope to those of us who worry about the future of "real" journalism. It turns out that Google, thought by many to be helping speed the death of old line journalism, is actually devoting serious time and resources to strategies to help quality reporting survive and thrive when the old business models finally creak to a halt.

“It’s the triple whammy,” Eric Schmidt, the Google CEO told Fallows, that is killing newspapers. “Loss of classifieds, loss of circulation, loss of the value of display ads in print, on a per-ad basis. Online advertising is growing but has not caught up,” Schmidt said.

At the same time the smart guys at Google, clearly much more tech savvy than old-line news folks, realize that the value of the search engine is that it can - and must - supply quality content. Without quality reporting, no quality content.

Here's Fallows on what Google is up to: "After talking during the past year with engineers and strategists at Google and recently interviewing some of their counterparts inside the news industry, I am convinced that there is a larger vision for news coming out of Google; that it is not simply a charity effort to buy off critics; and that it has been pushed hard enough by people at the top of the company, especially Schmidt, to become an internalized part of the culture in what is arguably the world’s most important media organization. Google’s initiatives do not constitute a complete or easy plan for the next phase of serious journalism. But they are more promising than what I’m used to seeing elsewhere, notably in the steady stream of 'Crisis of the Press' –style reports. The company’s ultimate ambition is in line with what most of today’s reporters, editors, and publishers are hoping for—which is what, in my view, most citizens should also support."

I'm the guy who has often joked that I will be the last person in America to buy a newspaper. When everyone else has moved to the iPod or whatever, I'll still be prowling around an airport or a newsstand looking for ink on newsprint. But even I must concede the old newspaper model is fading fast. Maybe even faster than anyone thinks.

Here's how one Google strategist describes, not incorrectly, the current newspaper business model: “Grow trees—then grind them up, and truck big rolls of paper down from Canada? Then run them through enormously expensive machinery, hand-deliver them overnight to thousands of doorsteps, and leave more on newsstands, where the surplus is out of date immediately and must be thrown away? Who would say that made sense?” It doesn't any more.

“It’s obvious that in five or 10 years, most news will be consumed on an electronic device of some sort," Schmidt told Fallows. "Something that is mobile and personal, with a nice color screen. Imagine an iPod or Kindle smart enough to show you stories that are incremental to a story it showed you yesterday, rather than just repetitive. And it knows who your friends are and what they’re reading and think is hot. And it has display advertising with lots of nice color, and more personal and targeted, within the limits of creepiness. And it has a GPS and a radio network and knows what is going on around you. If you think about that, you get to an interesting answer very quickly, involving both subscriptions and ads."

That is the key: how to generate the ad revenue - and remember most newspapers have always been a platform to sell ads, the news content was secondary.

Read Fallows piece and see if you don't agree that Google gets the content piece and may just be smart enough to help the real journalists figure out the business approach, too.

Not everyone agrees, of course, but can anyone doubt that the way journalism is financed, distributed and packaged has already changed in rapid and remarkable fashion. I can't see ahead to next year let alone ten years, but I'm confident we have only seen the beginning of the transformation. My hope is that the daily, hourly need for quality content will help drive the technological transformation.

You might want to Google that notion while reading your ink on newsprint...while you still can.

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Room for a Borah?

Too Independent for Today's GOP Arguably William Edgar Borah - the Lion of Idaho - is the most famous and influential politician Idaho has ever produced. He served longer in the U.S. Senate than anyone from Idaho ever has, was a genuine international figure and regularly confounded what he called "the old guard" in the GOP because of his independence. One wonders what Bill Borah would have thought of some planks in the Idaho GOP platform adopted last weekend in Idaho Falls? I wonder how many of the delegates know, or care, that Borah fought hard for, indeed was the floor sponsor of, the Constitutional amendment - the 17th Amendment - that changed the way U.S. Senators are elected. Idaho Republicans are now on record favoring repeal of Borah's handiwork and returning to the pre-1913 days when state legislators elected Senators. Borah was never a party regular. A reporter made the observation in the early 1930's that there were four distinct political factions in the United States - Republicans, Democrats, Progressives and William E. Borah. While Borah never broke openly with the national party, he did refuse to endorse William Howard Taft in 1912 - Borah was close to Theodore Roosevelt - and he couldn't bring himself to back Alfred Landon in 1936. Pressed by GOP leaders to make a series of radio talks to help Landon, the Kansas governor, in his uphill fight against Franklin Roosevelt, Borah refused. His biographer, Marian McKenna, wrote that "he warned Republican leaders that if they force him to take a stand publicly...he would let it be known that he preferred Roosevelt." Borah might have trouble with the "loyalty oath" Idaho Republicans now say will be required of GOP candidates. I doubt he would have approved of the party's effort to encourage long-time GOP local official Vern Bisterfeldt to withdraw as the party's candidate for Ada County Commissioner because of his past support for some Democratic candidates. In 1912 Borah challenged state GOP leaders to read him out of the party if they could. They couldn't. As to the 17th Amendment - the direct election of U.S. Senators - I think it not an overstatement to say that Idaho's most famous Republican would have been appalled that modern day GOP adherents would openly call for its repeal. McKenna wrote in her 1961 biography about Borah's leadership on the issue: "It was an excellent public service, but few know or remember Borah's part in it. The fight had been long, cutting across party lines and pitting conservatives against progressives. Borah found this groping of the electorate toward a truer and more efficient democracy most heartening." Asked years later if the change in how Senators are elected had improved the Senate, Borah had no doubt. He trusted the popular will. "What judgment is so swift, so sure and so remorseless," he said, "as the judgment of the American people?" There were two principle reasons Borah favored the election reform, one very personal another moral. He knew that his Senate career would likely be a short one if he couldn't appeal directly to the voters and he was genuinely disgusted by the corruption involved when legislators elected Senators. One of the most celebrated corruption cases involved William Andrews Clark of Montana, but Borah was more familiar with a corrupt 1909 Illinois election involving William Lorimer. As exposed by the Chicago Tribune, Lorimer won his Senate seat thanks to a $100,000 slush fund gathered by Illinois business interests who used the cash to bribe state legislators. The Senate eventually declared Lorimer's election invalid and Borah used the case to press for his reform. In the 1930's, Borah remained fiercely independent and above his party. He supported much of Roosevelt's New Deal, made common cause with Democrats - Montana's Burton K. Wheeler, a Progressive Democrat, was a close friend and collaborator - and lamented the GOP drift to the right. In his one rather half-hearted run for the White House in 1936, Borah told a campaign crowd: “If those now in control [of the Republican Party] would wake up some morning and find that I had been nominated for President they would groan, roll over and die.” McKenna summed up his individualism this way: "He was really an independent with a mystic loyalty to the party which never seemed to live up to the ideals he conceived for it. He was a Republican by inheritance and a Democrat by inclination. He tried to stand for the best in the two parties and was inevitably accused of straddling...it took courage for him to wage an unending battle against the old guard in the party which he really loved." Mark Twain once said that, "in religion and politics, people's beliefs and convictions are in almost every case gotten at second hand, and without examination." Perhaps political party platforms should be seen in the same light, and, of course, Democrats come up with crazy notions and put them in their platforms, too. Still, some of the positions Idaho Republicans now endorse ignore some of the the country's history, not to mention the history of the most famous Republican Idaho ever produced.

Monday, June 28, 2010

Byrd, Kagan and the Senate

A Monday Morning in Senate History The news that the longest serving member of Congress in the nation's history, Robert Byrd of West Virginia, had died got me to thinking about all that the silver maned "dean of the Senate" has seen since coming to Washington, D.C. in 1952. Think about it: Korea, McCarthy, the Cold War, Eisenhower, Kennedy, LBJ, Vietnam, civil rights, Nixon, Watergate, the rise of China, the end of the Soviet Union, radical Islam, Iraq and Afghanistan. What a time and what a career. Byrd was 92 and he loved the Senate. Byrd, with his courtly demeanor and three piece suits, was a throwback in many ways. Before his declining health, he was one of the Senate's great theatrical orators. Byrd was also a respecter of tradition and rules, one of the Senate's champion appropriators - it seems like half of the bridges and buildings in West Virginia carry his name - and a fierce defender of the Senate's role and responsibility as an institution in our system; particularly the Senate's role in limiting executive power. His has not been a career free of controversy, either. In the early 1940's, Byrd organized a Ku Klux Klan chapter in his hometown, Crab Orchard, and was chosen the chapter's "Exalted Cyclops." The Klan connection followed him all the rest of his life. In his memoir, Child of the Appalachian Coal Fields, published in 2005, he called joining the Klan a serious case of "bad judgment" driven by the naivete and ambition of a young man. "(Klan membership) has emerged throughout my life," he wrote, "to haunt and embarrass me and has taught me in a very graphic way what one major mistake can do to one's life, career, and reputation." Byrd goes on to note, not without irony, that organizing the Klan chapter in the 1940's served as his stepping stone to politics. He was mentioned as a presidential or vice presidential candidate more than once, rose to become Senate Majority Leader and has been a genuine scholar of Senate history. His book - The Senate: Addresses on the History of the United States Senate, 1789-1989 - is wonderful reading for a political history buff. In his day, Byrd could play a pretty fair fiddle. I remember seeing him in action in a stiflingly hot Boise High School auditorium during a campaign event for Sen. Frank Church in the fall of 1980. Byrd has also been a passionate advocate for better teaching of American history and when the Federation of State Humanities Councils presented him some years back with an award for his advocacy and support, he pulled out tattered copy of a history text he had read as a child in those Appalachian coal fields. The book, now mostly long forgotten, was An American History written by a Columbia University historian, David Saville Muzzey, and first issued in 1911. Muzzey's work was a standard American history text in the early 20th Century and Byrd praised it to nines; repeatedly referring to "his Muzzey." In 2004, Byrd authored another book; a slim and well-reasoned volume entitled Losing America. With the book he lamented the steady rise, during what was then his nearly 60 years in Washington, of the power of an American president to commit our military to action with little if any questioning by the Congress. The book was written in the wake of 9-11 and George W. Bush's invasion of Iraq; a action Byrd had courageously and very openly opposed. He wrote: "The awesome power to commit this nation to war must be taken back from the hands of a single individual - the president of the United States - and returned to the people's representatives in Congress as the framers intended. No president must ever again be granted such license with our troops or our treasure." At a time when there is so much talk about threats to the Constitution from - take your pick - President Obama, the Democratic Congress, a conservative Supreme Court or talk radio it is interesting that those doing the denouncing on both the left and the right hardly ever - OK, Ron Paul is an exception - mention Byrd's point about Article 1, Section 8, Clause 11 - "The Congress shall have power...To declare war." Bob Byrd knew "his Muzzey" and his Constitution. He has always carried a copy of the founding document in his coat pocket. His Senate career is one for the record books and the history books and the Senate could use his historical perspective as it takes on another Supreme Court confirmation this week. And Now, Judging Kagan Elena Kagan's confirmation hearings open today and the Senate's increasing inability to comprehensively, carefully and civilly carry out the "advise and consent" function may be as much on trial as the nominee. Republicans on the Judiciary Committee were threatening over the weekend to boycott the hearings unless they got access to more Kagan documents. Ranking GOP member Jeff Sessions even suggested a filibuster might be in order. Almost all of this, along with unbelievable talk about Kagan's wardrobe and looks, is little more than political theatre. The real questions that need to be asked, and probably won't be, are much less theatrical and much more important. Is she competent? Supreme Court clerk, White House Counsel's Office, Harvard Law dean would argue for a yes. My question: what did she learn from those experiences and how might it apply to the Supreme Court? Has she done anything in her professional or private life that might disqualify her - or anyone with similar history - from service on the high court? Nothing we know of. So, ultimately, does she understand the role of a judge? While we'll hear a good deal about her "judicial temperament" and whether she is an "activist" or a "liberal." I'd like some member of the Senate committee to ask her who she thinks has most affected American judicial thought since 1789, or in the 20th Century? Does she know anything about Holmes and Brandeis, Marshall and Taney? What opinion of Chief Justice Rehnquist's does she most admire? What has she read lately? How does she see the job of lawyer to the president? How will she work with Roberts and Scalia? Does she think she has any responsibility to explain herself - and her opinions - if she gots to wear the robe? You can bet the White House has equipped Kagan with 110 ways to say "I couldn't possibly comment on that since it is an issue that may well come before the Court." So, maybe we could have the Senate engage her in a conversation about how she thinks, what she knows about history and the Constitution and how she will apply her experience. I'm not holding my breath. The nineteen members of the Judiciary Committee - assuming the Republicans show up - will each need plenty of C-SPAN time. Why waste any of those precious moments on a real question that might really tell us something about the nominee when a partisan speech is possible - and expected? Bob Byrd and Elena Kagan are joined in history this Monday morning; the history of the United States Senate. Let's hope the current Senate is up to playing something approaching a useful role in writing one more chapter in that history, because with two problematic wars raging, a stagnant economy and millions out of work, the country hardly needs the sideshow of an unproductive fight over who should join the Supreme Court. The White House and the Senate have a stake in making things work, and work better. Why not start today? In his massive history of the Senate, Byrd wrote lovingly about the great Majority Leader from Montana Mike Mansfield and quotes the Montanan - the longest serving leader in history - as saying: "In moments of crisis, at least, the President and the Congress cannot be adversaries; they must be allies who, together, must delineate the path to guide the nation's massive machinery of government in a fashion which serves the interests of the people and is acceptable to the people." That is the Washington we need right now and can't seem to get.

Friday, June 25, 2010

A Good Day to Die...

The Little Bighorn...a Battle Never Really Over Sometime in the afternoon of June 25, 1876 - 134 years ago today - George Armstrong Custer and more than 200 troopers of the U.S. Seventh Cavalry under his direct command died on the hills and in the ravines along the east side of the Little Bighorn River in southeastern Montana. The Battle of the Little Bighorn, Custer's Last Stand, Sitting Bull's Triumph, whatever it has been called, never seems to be as distant or as "historical" as other even more important moments in American history. A fabulous new book about the battle The Last Stand: Custer, Sitting Bull and the Battle of the Little Bighorn by Nathaniel Philbrick goes a long way to explain why the lopsided encounter on that hot June afternoon never seems to be ready to move to the back shelves of our history. Philbrick does a commendable job of telling a balanced story. He doesn't detest Custer, although there is much to detest, and he doesn't glorify the mostly Sioux and Cheyenne warriors - particularly Sitting Bull - who messed up the obsessively ambitious Custer's opportunity, potentially, to win a great victory and position himself for a political career. It's fun to speculate about Custer the candidate. He was a shameless self promoter, a passably good writer, articulate - although he spoke very fast and this reportedly made him difficult to understand - and, even though his famous golden hair was thinning by the time he rode into the valley of the Little Bighorn, he was a good looking fellow. He was also a partisan Democrat when Democrats need an attractive candidate for the White House. Who knows? He could have been a contender. Custer could also be a bully, a prude and, as it suited him, an extraordinarily attentive friend and husband. In other words, he was, well, complicated. As Salon noted in a review of Philbrick's extremely well written and researched book: "Today, Custer has long since become an embarrassment to educated white Americans. But the effort we've put into debunking him amounts to admitting we're stuck with him. From the Goldilocks hairdo he'd actually rid himself of before Little Bighorn to the final, almost certainly inaccurate, tableau of The Last White Man Standing as the 'hostiles' close in, he's the horse's ass we rode in on." My own view is that the Custer story continues to generate interest and books - the General, really Lt. Colonel, even has a website and a "re-enacter" - for several reasons. Even with Philbrick's fresh retelling, we will never have the final word on the battle. The confusion of the battle - it played out over some distance in difficult terrain - and the selective or flawed memory of those who survived - and none directly with Custer did survive - combine to leave many details impossible to pin down. What really happened will forever remain a mystery. America, even in 1876, loved a flamboyant character. Custer was all that. He rode into Civil War battles wearing his own specially designed black velvet uniform. He once organized his entire regiment into companies defined by the color of the horses - a black horse company, a grey horse company, etc. He skillfully courted the press. One of the men who died with him in Montana was a newspaperman along to report on his exploits. Custer was a personality. Cable TV would have loved him. Philbrick makes a compelling case that Custer, had his customary luck held that long ago day, just might have prevailed. He had used similar tactics before to raid Indian villages and had his subordinates - Marcus Reno and Frederick Benteen - not hated Custer so much, and been better soldiers, they just might have pulled off the attack they launched against the massive native village. Sitting Bull shared that belief early on that hot afternoon, saying that he thought his warriors might well be routed. Finally, the Custer of Hollywood and heroic paintingts has survived and thrived because his very best publicist was his handsome wife, Elizabeth or Libby. She lived a long life, dying in 1933 at age 91 and, playing the role of "professional widow," she pulled out all the stops to burnish he departed husband's reputation and keep his memory alive. A profile in American Heritage noted that her last letter to Custer ended this way: “My thoughts, my dreams, my prayers, are all for you. God bless and keep my darling. Ever your own Libbie.” As the Wall Street Journal has noted in its review of Philbrick's book, the author is generally even-handed and displays, I think, just the right amount of disdain for Custer. Philbrick also continues the historical advance of the Custer story from "tragedy" to "cautionary tale." By the summer of 1876, the United States was in transition from a post-Civil War focus - Reconstruction would officially end with the election of 1876 - to a nation with imperial designs. The prevailing political and military sentiment was to contain the "hostiles" on confined reservations in order to advance the nation's economic development and population expansion. The Little Bighorn was but a momentary pause in that march for, as the Austin-American Statesman notes: "After the battle, Sitting Bull's huge village quickly scattered, and virtually every band surrendered to federal authorities within a few months. Reservation life brought only despair and deprivation. 'This victory, great as it was,' Philbrick writes of the battle, 'had simply been the prelude to a crushing and irresistible defeat.'" For a long time, I thought it strange that we named the battle after the guy who had lost. Why not the Great Sioux and Cheyenne Battle? Or, Sitting Bull's Battle? Former Montana Congressman Pat Williams answered the question when he told me a while back that during his 18 years in Congress, he caught as much flak for sponsoring the legislation to change the name of the battlefield - from Custer Battlefield to Little Bighorn Battlefield - as anything he ever did. Custer died 134 years ago today, but then again he never really died.

Thursday, June 24, 2010

Firing Generals

Truman Did It, So Did Lincoln... When I first heard about and then read Gen. Stanley McCrystal's comments about President Obama and some of his top advisers, I thought of another general - brilliant, but also cocky - who dissed his commander-in-chief, and, no, it was Douglas MacArthur. The guy I thought of was George Brinton McClellan - Little Mac - the general who confounded Abraham Lincoln and, I would suggest, bears more than a passing resemblance to the sacked McCrystal. There is a famous story from 1862 about McClellan showing a supreme amount of disrespect for his Commander-in-Chief. Lincoln called one evening on his commanding general at his home in Washington, D.C. Told that McClellan was out, Lincoln, with a couple of companions in tow, told the general's household staff that he would wait for his return in the parlor. Before too long McClellan came home and was told the President of the United States was waiting to speak to him. Rather than immediately present himself, McClellan sprinted up the stairs and went to bed. Lincoln's aides were outraged. What a snub of the president whom McClellan was known to call "an idiot" and "the gorilla." Lincoln, one wonders why, shrugged off the snub. Time after time during the early days of the Civil War, Lincoln gave McClellan his head and time after time McClellan disappointed. Finally, after McClellan failed to follow up on his on significant defeat of Robert E. Lee's army at the bloody battle of Antietam, Lincoln sacked the arrogant and ineffective general. McClellan, never lacking in self-confidence, eventually ran against Lincoln for president in1864. Lincoln had the pleasure of dispatching him a second time, but he probably put up with more than he should have and for much longer. Obama acted more decisively and appropriately with McCrystal. And, when the president summoned his general from Afghanistan, at least McCrystal showed up to face the public hanging. Lincoln had another general - Joe Hooker - who talked openly about the country's need for "a dictator" to effectively end the Civil War. Lincoln, again displaying real patience, heard about Hooker's lose talk and wrote the general one of the greatest letters any C-of-C ever wrote a battlefield commander. Only generals who create victories, Lincoln told Hooker, could hope to create dictators. You bring the victories, Lincoln said, and "I'll risk the dictator." Lincoln finally had to fire Hooker, too. Here's the point: had McCrystal's strategy in Afghanistan been working in a way that all of us could see, he might have survived. As it is, McCrystal is a good deal more like McClellan and Hooker than he is like MacArthur. MacArthur had engineered the audacious amphibious landing at Inchon in Korea, for example, and had a long record of accomplishment before Truman tied the can to him for his open contempt for the president. One of the best analysts of the American military, Thomas Ricks, makes the point that we ought to have even less hesitation about relieving a general. He's right. With all respect to McCrystal, he hasn't won a thing. For that matter, neither has the newly designated commander Gen. David Petraeus. Petraeus is given credit for devising and implementing the Iraq strategy, yet despite all the praise for the general, what happens after American troops further disengage in Iraq is still an open question. The verdict is also very much out regarding the Afghanistan strategy. Obama may look back on this moment and come to regret that he didn't seize upon McCrystal's, and his staff's, Bud Lite Lime infused indiscretions with a Rolling Stone reporter to reassess the entire strategy in Afghanistan. There is plenty of reason to wonder if any commander can make it work. Lincoln - and Truman - learned that a president only gets to fire a general every once in a while. Doing so reasserts, in an essential way, the American tradition of civilian control of the military. But, considering how rare and high profile such a move is, a president better make the most of it to change strategy, too.

Wednesday, June 23, 2010

A Radical Proposal - Guest Post

Let's Make Better Use of "Former' Governors Note: A guest post today from Chris Carlson my long-time friend, former partner and student of Idaho and national politics. Chris, mostly retired now, is writing a weekly column for the St. Maries Gazette-Record and enjoying the good life in north Idaho. Today, Chris - never shy and retiring - offers thoughts about how to make better use of all the "former" governors in the country. Chris...the floor is yours. Thanks... A RADICAL PROPOSAL By Chris Carlson According to the National Governor’s Association there are 250 living former governors across the United States. That’s an average of five per state. Idaho¸ Montana, and Oregon are right at that average and the state of Washington is slightly above that with six living former governors. Stop and ponder for a minute what a reservoir of talent, experience, ability, insight, perspective and decision-making that pool of individuals represents. Then sit back and realize that it’s a largely untapped pool. These are people who have had to make tough choices because most states mandate truly balanced budgets (no off the books gimmicks either), people who are used to making decisions and implementing policies. It should come as no surprise then that most often America turns to governors and former governors when it selects its presidents. In the last 100 years only three presidents have been elected directly from the Senate----Warren G. Harding, John F. Kennedy, and Barack H. Obama. Sitting or former governors elected president include Theodore Roosevelt, Woodrow Wilson, Calvin Coolidge, Franklin Roosevelt, Ronald Reagan, Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton. After reflecting on what an absolutely inhumane circus the path to the presidency has become, I’ve hit upon a radical solution that taps into that unused pool of talent and ability represented by former governors. Let’s amend the Constitution and establish a College of Governors (former) and much as the College of Cardinals elects a new Pope, this College of Governors would meet every four years to select the President! The two term limit would still apply. But think of the money that would be saved, and what better body would there be than a group of former governors (been there, done that kind of folks) to weigh who is best qualified to carry the awesome responsibilities of the Presidency? Here’s a roster of former governors in the four northwest states. As I read the list I thought to myself I could easily delegate my presidential ballot to this group and feel, like the All State commercial says, we’d be in good hands. Here’s the list, and as you read it, think about my radical proposal: Idaho---(5) Cecil D. Andrus, John V. Evans, Phil Batt, Dirk Kempthorne, and Jim Risch. Montana---(5) Tim Babcock, Ted Schwinden, Stan Stephens, Marc Racicot, and Judy Martz, Oregon---(5) Mark Hatfield, Vic Atiyeh, Neil Goldschmidt, Barbara Roberts and John Kitzhaber. Dr. Kitzhaber is running again for his old job, and if elected he would drop from the College of Governors.

Washington---(6) Al Rosellini, Daniel J. Evans, John Spellman, Booth Gardner, Mike Lowry and Gary Locke. The only criteria for belonging to this college would be status as a former Governor (not even necessarily elected). If you’ve been sworn in as a State’s chief executive, you’re in. Neither would there be an age limit. Al Rosellini is now 100 years old and still sharp as a tack. Nor, just as with the College of Cardinals, would the College of Governors have to select from one of their own. The only mandate would be to select the person in their estimation best qualified to carry out the duties of the Office of the Presidency. Simple majority of those eligible would be sufficient for the white smoke to emerge from the Capital, and the Dean of the College to announce: “We have a new President!” It really isn’t such a radical idea is it?

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

The Troubles

Sunday, Bloody Sunday It has been said that the 20th Century was the most violent century since man started walking upright. From the Boer War to the Balkans, two world wars, revolution in Russia, "insurgency" from Algeria to Malaysia, from Vietnam to Angola. A bloody century and all of it more or less completely tragic. That context, perhaps, is what made last week's official apology of the new British Prime Minister, David Cameron, so unusual and, one can hope, so important. Cameron, still in the honeymoon of his recent election, took to the floor of the Commons to react to the years-in-the-making official inquiry into the bloody Sunday of January 30, 1972 in Londonderry (or Derry), Northern Ireland. Some British troops, ironically from the heroic and decorated Parachute Regiment, completely lost their heads on that Sunday and fired into a civil rights protest crowd. Eventually fourteen died and Ireland north and south started to bleed. Before "the troubles" sputtered out many years later - thanks in no small part to American help from George Mitchell and Bill Clinton - thousands more had died and violence by the gun and bomb had, in some ways, become a substitute for politics in Ireland. Cameron's comments all these years later about Bloody Sunday have reverberated across Ireland and Britain; indeed around the world. Here is part of what the young prime minister, not much more than a toddler when it happened, had to say: “Mr. Speaker, I am deeply patriotic. I never want to believe anything bad about our country. I never want to call into question the behavior of our soldiers and our army who I believe to be the finest in the world. “But the conclusions of this report are absolutely clear. There is no doubt. There is nothing equivocal. There are no ambiguities. What happened on Bloody Sunday was both unjustified and unjustifiable. It was wrong.” The press and political reaction to Cameron's words - and as much his tone - has been rather remarkable. John Burns, writing from London for the Times, compared the words of reconciliation to what happened in South Africa upon the election of Nelson Mandela. Bono, whose U2 song Bloody Sunday helped bring the outrage - an a call for peace - to world attention, said with his speech Cameron had gone from "prime minister to statesman." He called the speech "one of the most extraordinary days in the mottled history of the island of Ireland.." One of the best things I've read about Cameron's words and what they mean came from the pen of the fine Irish writer Colum McCann. His book Let the Great World Spin won the National Book Award for fiction last year. Writing at the Daily Beast, McCann noted that Cameron's apology came one day before Bloomsday, the one day in the Dublin life of James Joyce's character Leopold Bloom celebrated in Ulysses. McCann, with an Irishman's ear for the telling phrase, wrote: "Let’s take the apology. Let’s celebrate it. A wound was acknowledged. A further grief was stared into oblivion. It is, in its way, its own piece of literature. It was almost as if Anna Akhmatova had stepped in alongside the questioning (Leopold) Bloom to say—as she does in one of her poems—“You’re many years late, how glad I am to see you.” How much good can be done to say "we were wrong?" How much healing can come from "I'm sorry...I apologize?" In the long, bloody history of the last century, we have much - in our nation and in every nation - to regret and to acknowledge as wrong. Doing it requires so little, but it can mean so much. Maybe it is the start to understanding...and peace.

Monday, June 21, 2010

You Build It...They Do Come

Time to Get Serious About a New Stadium The Boise Hawks open their home season tonight. The Northwest League affiliate of the hapless - why does that word fit so well - Chicago Cubs play Salem-Keiser at aging Memorial Stadium. The stadium, near the Ada County Fairgrounds is actually in Garden City, and it is, did I mention this, aging? I'll be in my third base box, but I'll be thinking, as I do every year at this time, about the need for a new, improved venue that could, I believe, accomplish several important objectives for the community. It's time for Boise to get on with the plan. Here's a partial list of what a new, multi-purpose stadium could mean for Boise and southwestern Idaho.
  1. We all know the community - and southwest Idaho - needs some economic development activity. A new, multi-purpose stadium in the right location would be first and foremost an economic development tool.
  2. Boise needs to take serious steps to secure minor league baseball for the long haul and if the community ever aspires to move up - and why not - to Triple AAA, Memorial Stadium isn't going to cut it. Some of us can remember the Boise minor league team playing at the old field at Borah High School - you couldn't get a beer - and the move to the Fairgrounds location was like moving from a sandlot to Yankee Stadium, but now its time to re-think the location, quality and attractiveness of a stadium that could be home to the Hawks, maybe a minor league soccer franchise, local high school sports, concerts and more.
  3. New, well-conceived stadium projects have shown that they can revitalize a neighborhood that needs a shot in the arm. There are many potential locations and it's probably too early in the assessment process to focus on any one site, but the City of Boise owns land along the Connector, west of downtown that needs to be seriously evaluated. Goodness knows that neighborhood, now the domain of abandoned auto dealerships and vacant lots, could use us a little love.

I remember a dinner with Mayor-elect Dave Bieter more than six years ago where the subject of a new stadium came up. The mayor has had plenty of priorities over those months, but now seems generally willing to think the multi-purpose stadium idea through. Good. It will take his leadership and the involvement of an enthusiastic community to move this idea forward.

The ownership of the Hawks have played a constructive role in this early discussion and have done some preliminary market analysis. More needs to be done, but it does seem clear that the Hawks could be the prime tenant for a new facility. If this effort is to get to first base and beyond a broad community need will need to be met. In other words, it is more than baseball, as important as I think that must be in the discussion.

Reno made a play for Triple AAA baseball and got it with a new downtown ballpark that anchors a redevelopment effort. Eugene (and the University of Oregon) built a new facility for the venerable Emeralds, a team long in the same league with Boise. Missoula finally got behind a new ballpark - the Beach Boys play there in August - and the Pioneer League Osprey seem sure to stay for a long time. Oklahoma City used the iconic Bricktown Ballpark to further renew an historic area in the heart of downtown. The list goes on and on.

I love Boise and have for the nearly 35 years I've been here. The city has so much going for it - great parks, new libraries, the Greenbelt, a nationally prominent college football team, a tremendous arts community with theater, music and more, the Foothills and the Boise River. Now, its time for a great, multi-purpose stadium venue to lock in professional baseball, attract minor league soccer, showcase high school sports and serve as a community venue for concerts and more.

Knowing Boise as I do, I know we'll have the predictable debate over what role government institutions should play in drafting and pushing a new stadium plan. Here is a fact: these developments just don't happen without a robust private-public partnership and a vast amount of community involvement.

Boise needs to take the next step and, with the Hawks opening another season tonight, its time to engage a community-wide conversation, make a plan and do something big and important for the city and the region.

Friday, June 18, 2010

Foot In Mouth Disease

Gaffes, Misconstrues, Misspeaks and Goofs My old boss, Cece Andrus, was about as good at speaking off the cuff as any politician I've ever seen. He had a plain spoken, even blunt style, softened with a great sense of humor. He rarely misspoke - read on - and lived with the knowledge that, as he has often said, "you can go from hero to zero (snap your fingers) just like that in politics." I thought of that old truism - and winced - watching Texas Congressman Joe Barton yesterday slip the biggest size 10 foot in his mouth as I've seen in a while. Unless you've been exclusively watching World Cup replays, you can't have missed Barton's "apology" to BP for undergoing "a shakedown" at the Obama White House. While the rest of the world - well maybe not British Prime Minister David Cameron - was gorging on the ritual of a Congressional hearing - main course, oil company executive under TV lights - Barton managed to steal the show with his defense of the guys scrambling to contain the biggest environmental mess in American history. Talk about off message. Even the BP executive receiving the apology looked uncomfortable. Barton later, not once but twice, apologized for his "misconstrued misconstruction." Huh? I've been struck by the incredible spate of similar gaffes recently. It is almost impossible to keep track of all of them. This is clearly a bipartisan phenomenon and, maybe we should be happy about this, not confined exclusively to elected officials or candidates. Helen Thomas, the venerable, grouchy White House gadfly, resigned for popping off about getting all the Jews out of Palestine. Helen got little sympathy from the boys and girls on the presidential beat, some of whom were jockeying for her front row seat in the White House briefing room. You knew it was truly bad for her when, hold on, Ralph Nader rose to defend her. With friends like that... BP's chairman stood this week before cameras outside the White House and talked about his regard for the "small people" of the Gulf. In fairness to the Swedish head of BP's Board, what he really meant may have been lost in translation. Still, a gaffe in the Swedish vernacular is still a misconstrue in my book. Rand Paul the Kentucky Senate candidate offered up a series of gaffes immediately after his recent primary win and now says he feels Barton's pain. It takes a gaffer to know one. Richard Blumenthal, the Democratic senate candidate in Connecticut, is still in trouble for misstating his military record. To gaffe again once exposed seems doubly daffy. The unbelievable story out of South Carolina gets better by the day. The surprise winner in the Democratic Senate primary there, Alvin Greene, is so unaware of what the job - and a campaign - entails that he asked Time magazine "if the candidate gets paid" for the interview he finally granted? Huh? One of the great political websites - Political Wire - features the gaffe Top 10 list so far this cycle and, yes, Idaho's Vaughn Ward gets spot number 4 for his "Puerto Rico is a country" slip up during the recent primary. All this, and I could go on and on, may seem like the political equivalent of the BP gusher; a vast increase in gaffiness that just can't be brought under control. My guess is that its not a real increase at all. Politicians and others in the public eye have been saying stupid things since the days of Caesar. What is different - expanding the range and speed of gaffes and misconstrues, to paraphrase Joe Barton - is the Internet and YouTube. The off the wall comment now takes on an instantaneous life of its own and thanks to 24-hour news it gets repeated and repeated. Think of it as gaffing at the speed of light. And, thanks to Google, the gaffes never, ever go away. Consider a rare Andrus, er, gaffe. Shortly after his close 1986 comeback election victory, Andrus was asked on a TV talk show about the grief he'd taken from the National Rifle Association during the campaign. The NRA's endorsement of his opponent - and frankly smear of him - particularly rankled the hunting and fishing governor because his lawyerly opponent was not a "hook and bullet" guy in the Idaho tradition. So, Andrus said of the NRA when asked, "oh, you mean the gun nuts of the world..." We're talking instant front page. Andrus also promised "retribution" for the "political distortions" he had been victim of. "Nuts" with that "retribution," I remember it well. Proof perhaps that even the best trip up from time-to-time. Just remember when you hear or read the next gaffe, it is said in Washington, DC that the real definition of a gaffe is "when a politician speaks the truth." Which is another way of saying that rarely does the "misconstrue," apology notwithstanding, veer far from what is really on the gaffer's mind. You can look it up.

Wednesday, June 16, 2010

Politics 101

Thinking About Our Fractured Politics Jim Leach, the current chairman of the National Endowment for the Humanities and a former 15-term Republican Congressman from Iowa, has the perfect formulation for why the middle has disappeared in American politics, while the most out there elements in both parties continue on the rise. Leach was in Boise last week as part of his national crusade to stress civility in our public dialogue and in our partisan politics. In between his stint as a Congressman - Leach joked that his constituents invited him to leave - and his tenure at the NEH, he taught at Princeton. While there he developed what he calls two minute courses on American history and politics. One mini-course he entitled Politics 101. Politics 101 begins with the recognition that the American electorate is roughly divided into thirds - one-third Republican, one-third Democratic, one-third independent. Then, realize that in primary elections, like the one recently in Idaho, only about 25% of registered voters participate in selecting a party's nominees. This 25% is generally made up of the most ardent party faithful; the true believers who also tend to be the most conservative Republicans and the most liberal Democrats. Furthermore, in some states with party registration, independents play no role in selecting the partisan contenders, effectively giving these self-defined "middle of the roaders" no role in defining who carries the partisan banners.

So, by Jim Leach's formulation, as we slice the electorate ever more finely in party primaries, we get down to about one-sixth of the total population making the big and basic decision about who goes on to a general election. In Idaho, winning a GOP primary is, in most places, the election and its often decided by a tiny fraction - the most partisan fraction - of the electorate. The recent Democratic primary in Idaho featured the smallest percentage of participation in many years.

Under this basic political arithmetic, no wonder most Republicans are tacking to the right and Democrats to the left. If they look and act like moderates - moderates like Jim Leach during his years in Congress - they get, in the vernacular of modern politics, "primaried." And, just like that, the middle of American politics has ceased to exist.

A Republican like Bob Bennett in Utah or a Democrat like Blanche Lincoln in Arkansas plays Russian roulette if they dare to work across the aisle. One of the great charges against Bennett, a three-term senator, was that he worked with Ted Kennedy and dared to supported the bi-partisan Wall Street bailout that, by the way, occurred on the watch of a GOP president.

Leach quoted - perhaps not altogether in context, but the words do ring - the great Irish poet, W.B. Yeats, "things fall apart; the center cannot hold" where the "best lack all conviction, while the worst are full of passionate intensity."

Our fractured politics stand to get worse, I fear, because self preservation in the human and political animal is such a powerful force. It takes a remarkable man or woman to try to appeal beyond the fringes of either party. The center is a dangerous place now in politics, but it has always been where real things get done.

Politics 101 today equals friction and faction. The middle not only hasn't held, it has disappeared.

Tuesday, June 15, 2010

Leaking Oil and Credibility - Part II

The President as Crisis Manager As a result of the BP oil spill in the Gulf, Barack Obama has learned - let's hope he's learned - some lessons about leadership in a crisis. Some of the criticism leveled at the President, such as the BP mess being "Obama's Katrina," seem a little off base and the media driven storyline about Obama needing to show a little temper was mostly just a made for cable controversy. Still the facts are that with the oil company clearly not acting quickly enough and ultimately not having a real plan to contain the damage from the big blow out, residents of the Gulf region and the county looked to Obama to lead. His record is, in my view, at best spotty. Many Americans embraced the Sarah Palin "drill, baby, drill" notion during the last campaign, but at the same time those same folks are no fans of Big Oil. In a new USA Today poll, 71% of those surveyed say Obama should get tougher with BP. His speech from the Oval Office tonight seems likely to take a harder line, but that's only part of the lesson from this crisis and its comes late in the crisis management game. Most executives learn - sooner or later - that the most difficult thing to uncover in a crisis is quality information upon which to act. It became pretty clear pretty fast that the information deficit in the Gulf would be a major problem. While BP tried one Rube Goldberg fix after another, the President and his people came late to the realization that BP was making it up as they went. In short, there was little reliable information about the best strategy to contain the growing spill and all the ideas seemed to be coming from the less than credible company that caused the crisis in the first place. Everyone involved also seemed to lack good intelligence on what the moving oil slick would likely mean to the Gulf coast. Obama needed better information earlier and faster. Lesson number one. Most executives also learn - eventually - that you can't delegate responsibility when you're the top guy. For days after the explosion on the Deepwater Horizon, Interior Secretary Ken Salazar was the administration's face on the scene. Nothing against Salazar, but we all know where the buck stops. The President and his advisers should have realized that this was his crisis to manage, and manage aggressively almost from day one. So, lesson number two. Obama should have taken charge much sooner and more forcefully. I think, and again hindsight is easy, that he should have insisted on face-to-face meetings with BP leadership in the Gulf and in DC. Realizing that the government doesn't possess the expertise to plug a blown out oil well a mile deep in the ocean, he should have raided major oil companies, universities, the national labs, private industry and foreign sources for the best available talent to manage the containment. I think the most profound criticism to level at the President is his failure to take the containment job away from BP early on. If he can fire the CEO of GM, he certainly has the moral authority to take over in this case. He should have. Who is to say whether better solutions would have been forthcoming, but such a move would have clearly signalled that he was in charge and not relying on the company to address its own obvious failures. Another lesson: when all is said and done this disaster will largely be about who pays and how much. Apparently the President is now insisting on a BP escrow account to be available to finance the clean up, pay claims, etc. Better late than never, but still very late. Money won't fix all that will need to be fixed in the Gulf, but money will certainly do until something better comes along. Obama could have displayed real toughness by both taking control of the containment effort and forcing BP to put real money on the table a lot earlier. Finally, I expect the President has learned another valuable, but painful lesson from this long ordeal: its hard to mobilize the government to effectively deal with a crisis that is both big and unpredictable. Katrina not withstanding, we generally have pretty effective national response to natural disasters - flood, hurricanes and the like - we struggle when the crisis is outside the usual box. Hard as it is to believe, federal agencies - state agencies for that matter - are rarely or routinely called upon to work together and coordinate an overall approach to a problem. They tend to be isolated, siloed organizations where even top managers, in say, the Transportation Department don't know their counterparts over at Interior. It is a problem endemic to any large organization, but it can be particularly acute in government. As John Kennedy famously said when the right hand of his government didn't know what the left hand was doing - "there is always some dumb SOB who doesn't get the word." That's why any President - or Governor or CEO - needs to be able to reach down in the bureaucracy and crack heads in the interest of action. Action in government, where most folks practice survival skills full time and are horribly risk averse, even during a crisis, requires aggressive, demanding leadership. A final lesson from history. When the great (and flawed) Winston Churchill took over as British Prime Minister in the dark days of 1940, he insisted, against almost unanimous advice, on reserving to himself the portfolio as Defense Minister as well as Prime Minister. Critics said it was too much for any one man, particularly one pushing 70 years of age. Winston was told he needed to delegate the day-to-day running of the war and focus instead on the big picture strategy. But Churchill, who knew a few things about human nature and leadership, understood that he would get the credit or blame for every military success or failure regardless of whether some other figure had the official title. Churchill insisted on being in the middle of every decision, pushing, prodding, selecting personnel and reading reports and issuing demanding memos. He craved the responsibility and, while he certainly didn't get every call correct, he inspired great confidence and dogged determination just when both were needed the most. In a crisis - the Battle of Britain or a oil spill in the Gulf - the top guy is the responsible party. Might as well make the most of it, a lesson President Obama now seems to be embracing, finally.

Monday, June 14, 2010

Leaking Oil and Credibility

Lessons to Learn I've been asked a dozen times since the BP oil spill developed in the Gulf of Mexico what I would have advised the company's executives as they face what may prove to be - or already is - a truly catastrophic environmental disaster. Alas, BP hasn't called, but of course I have some ideas about what they might have done differently. The general consensus has now developed that BP has irreversibly lost the PR battle, with some now comparing the lackluster response to Exxon's handling of the Alaska spill years ago, and has yet to win the battle to stop the oil flow. Could it have been different? Hard to tell, but maybe. Rule number one of a real crisis, I think, is simply that it is almost impossible for any entity - corporate, governmental, etc. - to move fast enough. The first hours in responding to a disaster, particularly such a public disaster, almost always establish the public perception of how well the crisis is being handled. The first hours and days of the Gulf spill now seem like a blur. What was happening, who was in charge, was this really bad, could it be quickly contained? Instinctively, I think, most people watched the television pictures of the burning oil rig and concluded that this would be a real mess. Meanwhile, BP and the government seemed slow out of the blocks. So, BP - and the government - failed the first test of crisis. They couldn't or wouldn't move fast enough. In the early hours of a major crisis, action is always better than talk. What might BP have done differently? I have five suggestions for what could have been done and one guess about why none of it happened. First, how might it have changed public perception had BP's CEO, the much-beleaguered Tony Hayward, immediately gone on television - from the Gulf - and announced that he was asking the state of Louisiana to establish an account, that the state would control, in which BP would immediately deposit - pick the number - $250 million as a down payment on the clean up? Real cash, not a promise to pay all "legitmate claims" might have made a powerful statement that the big oil company was really serious. Additionally, BP might have announced that it was immediately suspending al offshore drilling every where in the world while it conducted, with the help of outside experts, its own assessment of safety and emergency response. Hayward could also have humbly asked for an immediate meeting - in the Gulf - with President Obama, the Secretary of the Interior, the top Coast Guard officials, the heads of Exxon-Mobil, Royal Dutch Shell and the governors of the Gulf states. The purpose of the meeting: establish an immediate crisis response team, seek the best possible industry help to determine the best way to stop the leak and contain the oil and, most importantly, get all the responsible folks in the same room and on the same page. It might have also helped BP's credibility from the first moment had Hayward admitted what almost all the rest of us suspected - the company did not know the extent of the leak, did not fully understand the cause, didn't have a sure fire solution to contain the oil and fully expected the worst with regard to the environmental consequences. It is remarkable what a humble admission of "we don't know and we need help" will do to retain credibility and, frankly, buy time to get organized and really figure out what to do. Hayward should also have become the sole face of the company's response. He should have camped out in the Gulf, constantly meeting with local officials, business people, environmentalists and fishermen, and working the media. He should have aggressively engaged the President and his administration rather than appear to be a reluctant participant in the whole process by suggesting he wanted "his life back." Here is a bet as to why BP seemed to do nothing in the first days except to say it took responsibility while seeming to downplay what was really happening. I'm betting the company's lawyers took charge of the response and the overriding objective became to contain the financial and legal liability for BP and its shareholders. I can almost hear a smart, articulate attorney telling the CEO that he must do nothing that would eventually be used to shape the inevitable legal cases that will drive BP's liability. Don't get me wrong, the lawyers must be in the room when a crisis is unfolding, but in a career of helping manage various kinds of crisis - nothing admittedly this big - I have concluded that the "right thing to do" is almost immediately in conflict with what constitutes the best legal strategy for the entity responsible for the crisis. It's hard for any CEO - even the most well intentioned - to ignore the legal advice he will receive, but doing the right thing - and fast - is almost always the better long-term option than to craft a response that is driven largely by legal considerations. Now, as the President heads back to the Gulf today, the New York Times reports that he will demand a BP escrow account, summon the company's executives to the White House and generally ramp up the public pressure on the company. Some might argue it's a little late. It is easy to second guess while looking in the rear view mirror, but I think, had BP acted faster and more decisively by putting real money on the table and seeking help and buy in from the industry and government, it could have taken charge of the unfolding narrative in the first hours and saved itself some major and long-lasting PR heartburn. Tomorrow, some thoughts on lessons for the President in the government's response to the spill.

Friday, June 11, 2010

The World's Game

Soccer: It Speaks the World's Language Someone once said that the secret to world peace was to adopt a universal language; one common language that would eliminate misunderstanding and foster shared purpose. As I've watched the run up to the 2010 World Cup, I've thought we may really be getting closer to the one world language - the language of the world's game - soccer. Loyal readers in this space know that baseball is my game, but when the World Cup rolls around who cannot be a soccer fan. I can still remember my two young sons darting around a soccer pitch on very cold Saturday mornings in the fall while I huddle on the sideline trying to keep warm with a cup of hot coffee. While urging them on, I stood there shivering and wondering just what the rules of this foreign game were all about. My soccer knowledge hasn't progressed all that far in the intervening years, but I have come to appreciate the skill and athleticism of the great players and, of course, the social phenomenon of soccer is fascinating. This World Cup, to read the experts, is all about the rise of African soccer and ESPN has a great piece on what soccer means to Africa. I know what it means in England, Ireland and South America. I spent a day earlier this year touring Montevideo, Uruguay - now there is a soccer mad country - and quickly learned of that country's real religion. Most Uruguayans are Roman Catholic, but soccer is the true national religion and probably has more true believers. After all the World Cup originated there. The same situation prevails in Argentina, a country bedeviled with a long history of political and economic instability, but a nation in the first rank when it comes to futbol.

So, I'll check the baseball box scores on a daily basis as I always do, but I'll make a point to catch some of the World Cup action over the next few days. Brazil and maybe Spain are considered favorites, but I'll be pulling for the other South Americans - Argentina and Uruguay.

By the way, and with acknowledgement that its almost impossible to miss the World Cup hype and coverage, one of the classiest marketing efforts associated with the big event has been the campaign of the luxury brand Louis Vuitton.

The Vuitton campaign, including a really cool website, features the great Brazilian soccer star Pele, the Frenchman Zinedane Zidane and the Argentine Diego Maradona. Some marketing genius, and I mean that as a compliment, came up with the idea of having the three aging soccer stars play a Foosball game and respond to a long series of soccer questions. Great marketing and good soccer lore.

Baseball is still an American game. Soccer belongs to the world. The next month should be fascinating.